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Philadelphia Phillies
5
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 10 H, 0 EOrioles · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jackson Holliday flies out to right fielder Derek Hill.
bot 9Leody Taveras flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand pops out to first baseman Bryce Harper in foul territory.
top 9Alec Bohm strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryce Harper pops out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
top 9Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
top 9Trea Turner doubles (19) on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward.
bot 8Tyler O'Neill pops out to first baseman Bryce Harper.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 2-4, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 2-4 · Trea Turner 2-5
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 1-3 · Dylan Beavers 1-1 · Tyler O'Neill 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.