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Philadelphia Phillies
4
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
6
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 6 H, 0 EOrioles · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Justin Crawford grounds out, pitcher Tyler Wells to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Derek Hill lines out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Bryson Stott flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
bot 8Colton Cowser called out on strikes.
bot 8Jake Rogers grounds into a double play, second baseman Bryson Stott to shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper. Jackson Holliday out at 2nd. Jake Rogers out at 1st.
bot 8Jackson Holliday walks.
top 8J.T. Realmuto strikes out swinging.
top 8Brandon Marsh grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · J.T. Realmuto 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Justin Crawford 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 2 RBI · Dylan Beavers 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.