Statball

← All live games · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
6
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112111
Royals · 2 H, 0 EOrioles · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Vinnie Pasquantino pops out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
top 9Lane Thomas strikes out swinging.
top 9Jac Caglianone grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.
bot 8Taylor Ward flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 8Adley Rutschman grounds out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.16
top 8Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Massey 1-3 · Jac Caglianone 1-4 · Carter Jensen 0-3
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Taylor Ward 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.