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Kansas City Royals
2
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
8
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 10 H, 1 EOrioles · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Bobby Witt Jr. grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Carter Jensen flies out sharply to center fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Isaac Collins flies out to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
bot 8Samuel Basallo grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Salvador Perez.
bot 8Pete Alonso pops out to second baseman Michael Massey.
bot 8Dylan Beavers singles on a soft ground ball to catcher Carter Jensen. Taylor Ward to 3rd. Dylan Beavers to 2nd. Taylor Ward advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by catcher Carter Jensen.
bot 8Taylor Ward grounds into a force out, first baseman Salvador Perez to second baseman Michael Massey. Gunnar Henderson out at 2nd. Taylor Ward to 1st.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Lane Thomas 3-4, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-5 · Josh Rojas 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Leody Taveras 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Samuel Basallo 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 3-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.