Statball

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Chicago Cubs
9
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
7
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 8 H, 0 EOrioles · 14 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Pete Alonso grounds out softly, catcher Carson Kelly to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 9Taylor Ward grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 9Adley Rutschman grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Michael Busch grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Alex Bregman lines out to third baseman Blaze Alexander.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson lines out to shortstop Dansby Swanson.
bot 8Jackson Holliday doubles (3) on a fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Kelly 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler O'Neill 2-2, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Jackson Holliday 4-4 · Pete Alonso 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.