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Chicago Cubs
2
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
3
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891112
Cubs · 9 H, 0 EOrioles · 3 H, 2 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Michael Conforto lines out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
top 9Dansby Swanson grounds into a force out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Ian Happ out at 2nd. Dansby Swanson to 1st.
top 9Ian Happ singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jackson Holliday.
top 9Nico Hoerner reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
bot 8Blaze Alexander grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Jackson Holliday out at 2nd.
bot 8Samuel Basallo flies out to left fielder Ian Happ in foul territory.
bot 8Jackson Holliday walks.
bot 8Pete Alonso hit by pitch. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ian Happ 2-4 · Michael Busch 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler O'Neill 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-1, 2 RBI · Taylor Ward 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.