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Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 9 H, 0 EOrioles · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Josh Rojas strikes out swinging.
top 9Salvador Perez pops out to catcher Adley Rutschman in foul territory.
top 9Michael Massey doubles (16) on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
top 9Lane Thomas grounds out, third baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Blaze Alexander strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Colton Cowser called out on strikes.
bot 8Tyler O'Neill flies out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Samuel Basallo homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Pete Alonso scores.35

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Collins 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jac Caglianone 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Rojas 2-4, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Blaze Alexander 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Samuel Basallo 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.