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Chicago White Sox
1
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
6
100% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891411
Sox · 4 H, 0 EOrioles · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Braden Montgomery grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Samuel Basallo.
top 9Andrew Benintendi grounds out to first baseman Samuel Basallo.
top 9Miguel Vargas grounds out, third baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Samuel Basallo.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson lines out sharply to second baseman Chase Meidroth.
bot 8Blaze Alexander strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jackson Holliday grounds out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Jacob Gonzalez.
bot 8Leody Taveras homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.16
top 8Sam Antonacci lines out to left fielder Taylor Ward.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Sam Antonacci 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tristan Peters 1-3 · Braden Montgomery 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Leody Taveras 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tyler O'Neill 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Blaze Alexander 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.