Statball

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Chicago Cubs
5
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
2
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 10 H, 1 EOrioles · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Leody Taveras grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 9Tyler O'Neill strikes out swinging.
bot 9Blaze Alexander grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Michael Busch flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Alex Bregman grounds out, third baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong lines out to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
bot 8Samuel Basallo grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Colton Cowser grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Tyler Ferguson.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
15 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 2-5, 2 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-5, 1 RBI · Miguel Amaya 2-3
Baltimore Orioles
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 1 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 2-4, 2 RBI · Samuel Basallo 1-4 · Gunnar Henderson 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.