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Washington Nationals
6
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
4
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 7 H, 0 EOrioles · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Leody Taveras grounds into a double play, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr. Coby Mayo out at 2nd. Leody Taveras out at 1st.
bot 9Coby Mayo walks.
bot 9Tyler O'Neill flies out sharply to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 9Luis García Jr. flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
top 9James Wood singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser.
top 9Keibert Ruiz strikes out swinging.
bot 8Blaze Alexander grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Pete Alonso flies out sharply to left fielder Daylen Lile.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 3-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Dylan Crews 1-3 · Curtis Mead 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jackson Holliday 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Colton Cowser 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.