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Washington Nationals
1
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
3
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 5 H, 1 EOrioles · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dylan Crews grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9CJ Abrams strikes out swinging, catcher Samuel Basallo to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Jorbit Vivas grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson flies out to right fielder James Wood.
bot 8Taylor Ward reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Luis García Jr. Blaze Alexander to 2nd.
bot 8Blaze Alexander walks.
bot 8Jackson Holliday strikes out swinging.
bot 8Leody Taveras called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Crews 1-4 · Curtis Mead 1-4 · James Wood 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 3-5 · Coby Mayo 2-4, 1 RBI · Tyler O'Neill 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.