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Seattle Mariners
5
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
7
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 9 H, 0 EOrioles · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Randy Arozarena grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Josh Naylor grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.
top 9Julio Rodríguez reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Blaze Alexander. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.
top 9Cole Young grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
bot 8Leody Taveras pops out to shortstop Colt Emerson.
bot 8Samuel Basallo flies out sharply to right fielder Luke Raley.
top 8Colt Emerson grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dominic Canzone 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luke Raley 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Colton Cowser 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Adley Rutschman 2-3, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.