Statball

← All live games · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

San Diego Padres
9
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567894211121
Padres · 10 H, 0 EOrioles · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Pete Alonso grounds out, second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Gavin Sheets.
bot 9Gunnar Henderson hit by pitch.
bot 9Taylor Ward grounds into a double play, second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Gavin Sheets. Blaze Alexander out at 2nd. Taylor Ward out at 1st.
bot 9Blaze Alexander singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Samad Taylor.
top 9Nick Solak lines out sharply to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
top 9Samad Taylor singles on a line drive to left fielder Blaze Alexander.
top 9Gavin Sheets lines out to third baseman Coby Mayo.
top 9Sung-Mun Song lines out sharply to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Samad Taylor 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jackson Merrill 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Rodolfo Durán 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Blaze Alexander 3-4 · Samuel Basallo 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.