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Seattle Mariners
6
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 9 H, 0 EOrioles · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
bot 9Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.
bot 9Gunnar Henderson walks.
bot 9Taylor Ward flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 9Cole Young strikes out swinging.
top 9Ryan Bliss walks.
top 9Jhonny Pereda lines out to right fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Patrick Wisdom strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Randy Arozarena 3-4, 1 RBI · Dominic Canzone 2-3
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 2-3 · Blaze Alexander 2-3, 1 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.