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Seattle Mariners
6
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 11 H, 1 EOrioles · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Tyler O'Neill strikes out swinging.
bot 10Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jeremiah Jackson reaches on a fielder's choice out, third baseman Patrick Wisdom to catcher Mitch Garver. Blaze Alexander out at home. Leody Taveras to 2nd.
bot 10Coby Mayo pops out to second baseman Ryan Bliss.
bot 10Leody Taveras singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Pete Alonso scores. Blaze Alexander to 3rd.65
bot 10Blaze Alexander hit by pitch.
top 10Patrick Wisdom flies out sharply to center fielder Leody Taveras.
top 10Dominic Canzone grounds out, third baseman Coby Mayo to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 10Josh Naylor pops out to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Mitch Garver 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Victor Robles 2-5
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Coby Mayo 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-2 · Leody Taveras 1-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.