Statball

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Seattle Mariners
2
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
7
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 4 H, 1 EOrioles · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Mitch Garver strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Dominic Canzone grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Luke Raley grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Pete Alonso grounds out, shortstop Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson pops out to third baseman Patrick Wisdom in foul territory.
bot 8Taylor Ward singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Taylor Ward out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Julio Rodríguez to second baseman Miles Mastrobuoni.
top 8Randy Arozarena strikes out swinging.
top 8Josh Naylor singles on a fly ball to right fielder Leody Taveras. Patrick Wisdom scores.27

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 1-4, 1 RBI · Cole Young 1-4 · Dominic Canzone 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jackson Holliday 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Leody Taveras 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.