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Toronto Blue Jays
5
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
9
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 8 H, 0 EOrioles · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Nathan Lukes pops out to third baseman Blaze Alexander in foul territory.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela grounds out, first baseman Pete Alonso to pitcher Rico Garcia.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Taylor Ward called out on strikes.
bot 8Jackson Holliday strikes out swinging.
top 8Andrés Giménez pops out to third baseman Blaze Alexander in foul territory.
top 8Charles McAdoo singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
13 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 51 batters faced over the last two days
Yohendrick Piñango 2-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ernie Clement 2-4, 1 RBI · Nathan Lukes 2-5
Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Colton Cowser 2-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Samuel Basallo 2-3, 1 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.