Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
5
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
6
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 11 H, 1 EOrioles · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Taylor Ward scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd. Adley Rutschman to 2nd.56
bot 9Adley Rutschman walks. Colton Cowser scores. Taylor Ward to 3rd. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.55
bot 9Gunnar Henderson walks. Jackson Holliday scores. Colton Cowser to 3rd. Taylor Ward to 2nd.54
bot 9Taylor Ward walks.
bot 9Colton Cowser doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Jackson Holliday to 3rd.
bot 9Jackson Holliday singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Leody Taveras scores.53
bot 9Leody Taveras triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Coby Mayo scores.52
bot 9Coby Mayo hit by pitch.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
13 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 4-5 · Ernie Clement 2-4, 1 RBI · Daulton Varsho 1-5
Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 1-2 · Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 2 RBI · Leody Taveras 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.