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Toronto Blue Jays
2
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 6 H, 1 EOrioles · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jackson Holliday grounds out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 9Colton Cowser grounds into a force out, second baseman Ernie Clement to shortstop Andrés Giménez. Leody Taveras out at 2nd. Colton Cowser to 1st.
bot 9Leody Taveras singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
bot 9Weston Wilson flies out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
top 9George Springer grounds into a double play, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso. Brandon Valenzuela out at 2nd. George Springer out at 1st.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela walks.
top 9Andrés Giménez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Catcher Brandon Valenzuela picks off Pete Alonso at 1st on throw to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
13 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Andrés Giménez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ernie Clement 1-4 · Nathan Lukes 1-3
Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Coby Mayo 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Taylor Ward 2-3 · Leody Taveras 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.