Statball

← All live games · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Toronto Blue Jays
6
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678942212
Jays · 10 H, 2 EOrioles · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Adley Rutschman grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 9Gunnar Henderson reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Ernie Clement.
bot 9Taylor Ward flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
bot 9Jackson Holliday grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9George Springer grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
top 9Yohendrick Piñango strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Nathan Lukes doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
13 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Charles McAdoo 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kazuma Okamoto 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Daulton Varsho 2-4
Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jackson Holliday 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.