Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
1
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
6
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789133
Rays · 9 H, 2 EOrioles · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Oliver Dunn grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Hunter Feduccia flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
top 9Victor Mesa Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Blaze Alexander grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Colton Cowser singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Junior Caminero.
bot 8Jeremiah Jackson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.
top 8Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Jonathan Aranda 3-4, 1 RBI · Chandler Simpson 2-4 · Ryan Vilade 1-1
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 57 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Leody Taveras 2-4 · Jackson Holliday 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.