Statball

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Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 7 H, 0 EOrioles · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Colton Cowser homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Holliday scores. Leody Taveras scores.35
bot 9Jeremiah Jackson flies out to center fielder Matt Vierling.
bot 9Leody Taveras walks.
bot 9Jackson Holliday walks.
bot 9Samuel Basallo flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
top 9Dillon Dingler flies out to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson.
top 9Kevin McGonigle called out on strikes.
top 9Jahmai Jones flies out to left fielder Colton Cowser.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
12 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Vierling 3-4, 1 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 1-5 · Zack Short 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Colton Cowser 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.