Statball

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New York Yankees
0
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
7
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891222
Yankees · 1 H, 2 EOrioles · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cody Bellinger grounds out, second baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Aaron Judge grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso. Trent Grisham to 3rd.
top 9Ben Rice grounds out softly to first baseman Pete Alonso. Trent Grisham to 2nd.
top 9Trent Grisham walks.
bot 8Blaze Alexander strikes out swinging.
bot 8Weston Wilson grounds into a force out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Leody Taveras out at 2nd. Weston Wilson to 1st.
bot 8Coby Mayo pops out to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 8Leody Taveras reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Anthony Volpe.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 1-3 · Spencer Jones 0-1 · Aaron Judge 0-4
Baltimore Orioles
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Blaze Alexander 3-4, 2 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.