Statball

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Detroit Tigers
4
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
7
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 7 H, 1 EOrioles · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Gage Workman strikes out swinging.
top 9Zach McKinstry flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
top 9Wenceel Pérez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Samuel Basallo strikes out swinging.
bot 8Pete Alonso lines out sharply to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.
bot 8Adley Rutschman flies out to center fielder Wenceel Pérez.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to center fielder Wenceel Pérez.
top 8Spencer Torkelson grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
12 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Hao-Yu Lee 2-3, 2 RBI · Gage Workman 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Holliday 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 3-5 · Pete Alonso 1-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.