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New York Yankees
6
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
2
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789152
Yankees · 9 H, 2 EOrioles · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jeremiah Jackson flies out to right fielder Aaron Judge.
bot 9Leody Taveras grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Colton Cowser strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Ben Rice flies out to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
top 9Aaron Judge singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt walks.
top 9Austin Wells strikes out swinging.
top 9Max Schuemann walks.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Paul Goldschmidt 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Trent Grisham 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Aaron Judge 2-3
Baltimore Orioles
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 2-4, 1 RBI · Taylor Ward 2-4 · Tyler O'Neill 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.