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New York Yankees
2
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
3
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 5 H, 0 EOrioles · 3 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Paul Goldschmidt singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
top 9Ryan McMahon flies out sharply to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. called out on strikes.
bot 8Adley Rutschman flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Taylor Ward grounds out, shortstop Max Schuemann to first baseman Ben Rice.
top 8Cody Bellinger strikes out swinging.
top 8Aaron Judge flies out to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Max Schuemann 1-3 · Aaron Judge 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 52 batters faced over the last two days
Coby Mayo 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Weston Wilson 1-3 · Adley Rutschman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.