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Houston Astros
3
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 11 H, 0 EOrioles · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jose Altuve bunt grounds out softly, third baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Isaac Paredes flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Yordan Alvarez flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 8Tyler O'Neill called out on strikes.
bot 8Leody Taveras called out on strikes.
bot 8Samuel Basallo strikes out swinging.
top 8Carlos Correa strikes out swinging.
top 8Brice Matthews singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Dustin Harris scores.35

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
15 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Brice Matthews 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Christian Walker 2-4 · Yainer Diaz 2-4
Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Samuel Basallo 2-4, 1 RBI · Adley Rutschman 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.