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Houston Astros
11
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 14 H, 0 EOrioles · 6 H, 2 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Samuel Basallo flies out to center fielder Daniel Johnson.
bot 9Coby Mayo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dustin Harris. Colton Cowser scores.115
bot 9Dylan Beavers singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daniel Johnson. Colton Cowser to 3rd.
bot 9Colton Cowser walks.
bot 9Blaze Alexander grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Brice Matthews called out on strikes.
top 9Braden Shewmake strikes out swinging.
top 9Daniel Johnson grounds out to first baseman Coby Mayo.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
14 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cam Smith 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Isaac Paredes 2-5, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Weston Wilson 1-3 · Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 1 RBI · Leody Taveras 1-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.