Statball

← All live games · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Boston Red Sox
17
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789313101
Sox · 17 H, 1 EOrioles · 6 H, 3 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Leody Taveras flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 9Jeremiah Jackson grounds out, second baseman Marcelo Mayer to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 9Tyler O'Neill flies out sharply to left fielder Jarren Duran.
top 9Andruw Monasterio flies out to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
top 9Trevor Story reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Coby Mayo.
top 9Wilyer Abreu flies out to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
top 9Willson Contreras homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.171
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Andruw Monasterio 3-6, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Willson Contreras 2-4, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Caleb Durbin 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 2-3 · Jeremiah Jackson 1-4 · Adley Rutschman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.