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Arizona Diamondbacks
4
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 10 H, 0 EOrioles · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Taylor Ward grounds out, pitcher Paul Sewald to first baseman Luken Baker.
bot 9Gunnar Henderson pops out to third baseman Nolan Arenado.
bot 9Blaze Alexander strikes out swinging.
top 9Ildemaro Vargas flies out to right fielder Colton Cowser.
top 9Jorge Barrosa hit by pitch. Tim Tawa to 2nd.
top 9Tim Tawa grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Jeremiah Jackson. James McCann out at 2nd. Tim Tawa to 1st.
top 9James McCann singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Luken Baker strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Ildemaro Vargas 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Geraldo Perdomo 3-4 · Jose Fernandez 2-4, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 2-4 · Leody Taveras 1-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.