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Boston Red Sox
3
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
10
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 10 H, 0 EOrioles · 20 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jarren Duran pops out to third baseman Coby Mayo.
top 9Carlos Narváez flies into a double play, right fielder Dylan Beavers to catcher Adley Rutschman to shortstop Blaze Alexander. Marcelo Mayer out at 2nd.
top 9Caleb Durbin walks. Trevor Story to 3rd. Marcelo Mayer to 2nd.
top 9Marcelo Mayer singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Trevor Story to 2nd.
top 9Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 8Coby Mayo called out on strikes.
bot 8Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.
bot 8Samuel Basallo singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Trevor Story 2-3 · Marcelo Mayer 2-4, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 3-5, 2 HR, 6 RBI · Samuel Basallo 4-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.