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Arizona Diamondbacks
7
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
9
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 10 H, 1 EOrioles · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ketel Marte grounds out, third baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Jorge Barrosa strikes out swinging.
top 9Alek Thomas strikes out swinging.
bot 8Taylor Ward grounds out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson flies out sharply to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
bot 8Jeremiah Jackson homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.79
top 8Nolan Arenado grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 8Ildemaro Vargas grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Arenado 2-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Ketel Marte 2-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Ildemaro Vargas 2-4
Baltimore Orioles
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremiah Jackson 3-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.