Statball

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San Francisco Giants
6
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 12 H, 1 EOrioles · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Adley Rutschman pops out to shortstop Willy Adames.
bot 9Taylor Ward doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
bot 9Gunnar Henderson homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Jeremiah Jackson scores.63
bot 9Blaze Alexander strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jeremiah Jackson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
bot 9Leody Taveras grounds out, first baseman Rafael Devers to pitcher Blade Tidwell.
top 9Casey Schmitt strikes out swinging.
top 9Rafael Devers lines out sharply to right fielder Colton Cowser.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Jung Hoo Lee 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Willy Adames 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Casey Schmitt 3-5, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Adley Rutschman 3-5 · Leody Taveras 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.