Statball

← All live games · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

San Francisco Giants
2
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
6
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112211
Giants · 7 H, 1 EOrioles · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jared Oliva lines out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Jung Hoo Lee grounds out, first baseman Pete Alonso to pitcher Tyler Wells.
top 9Casey Schmitt homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.26
top 9Matt Chapman flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
bot 8Pete Alonso grounds into a double play, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Christian Koss to first baseman Rafael Devers. Taylor Ward out at 2nd. Pete Alonso out at 1st.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson pops out to catcher Daniel Susac in foul territory.
bot 8Jeremiah Jackson singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher JT Brubaker.
top 8Rafael Devers strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Casey Schmitt 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heliot Ramos 1-3 · Rafael Devers 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Leody Taveras 2-4 · Taylor Ward 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.