Statball

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Minnesota Twins
4
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 4 H, 0 EOrioles · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Pete Alonso grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Luke Keaschall. Taylor Ward out at 2nd.
bot 9Gunnar Henderson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Taylor Ward walks.
bot 9Jeremiah Jackson strikes out swinging.
top 9Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.
top 9James Outman pops out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
top 9Ryan Jeffers strikes out swinging.
bot 8Coby Mayo grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Kody Clemens.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Royce Lewis 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Byron Buxton 2-4 · Kody Clemens 1-4, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremiah Jackson 2-4, 1 RBI · Ryan Mountcastle 1-1 · Pete Alonso 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.