Statball

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Texas Rangers
5
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
2
0% — our call
Texas Rangersgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Rangers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rangers · 10 H, 0 EOrioles · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ryan Mountcastle strikes out swinging.
bot 9Coby Mayo flies out to center fielder Evan Carter.
bot 9Jeremiah Jackson strikes out swinging.
top 9Evan Carter flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
top 9Josh Jung called out on strikes.
top 9Josh Smith singles on a fly ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Jake Burger scores. Andrew McCutchen to 2nd.52
top 9Andrew McCutchen singles on a ground ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Jake Burger to 3rd.
top 9Jake Burger doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward.

Context the model prices

Texas Rangers
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Nimmo 3-5, 1 RBI · Evan Carter 2-5 · Jake Burger 2-4, 2 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Taylor Ward 1-4 · Adley Rutschman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.