Statball

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Minnesota Twins
6
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
8
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 12 H, 0 EOrioles · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9James Outman flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
top 9Victor Caratini reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Luke Keaschall to 3rd.
top 9Matt Wallner lines out sharply to left fielder Taylor Ward.
top 9Luke Keaschall singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
bot 8With Pete Alonso batting, Gunnar Henderson picked off and caught stealing 2nd base, second baseman Luke Keaschall.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson grounds into a force out, first baseman Kody Clemens to shortstop Tristan Gray. Taylor Ward out at 2nd. Gunnar Henderson to 1st.
bot 8Taylor Ward walks.
bot 8Blaze Alexander singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Royce Lewis 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Victor Caratini 2-5 · Tristan Gray 2-4, 3 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler O'Neill 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-3, 1 RBI · Coby Mayo 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.