Statball

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Minnesota Twins
1
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
2
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 5 H, 1 EOrioles · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Trevor Larnach strikes out swinging.
top 9Victor Caratini singles on a ground ball to center fielder Colton Cowser.
top 9Josh Bell strikes out swinging.
top 9Matt Wallner strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Samuel Basallo flies out to left fielder Kody Clemens.
bot 8Adley Rutschman doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Kody Clemens.
bot 8Pete Alonso flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Caratini 1-3 · Austin Martin 1-3 · Ryan Jeffers 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 2-4 · Samuel Basallo 1-4 · Tyler O'Neill 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.