Statball

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Miami Marlins
1
0% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
4
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789131
Marlins · 3 H, 0 EBraves · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Owen Caissie strikes out swinging.
top 9Heriberto Hernández flies out sharply to center fielder Michael Harris II.
top 9Griffin Conine strikes out swinging.
bot 8Sean Murphy flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
bot 8Austin Riley singles on a line drive to right fielder Griffin Conine.
bot 8Mike Yastrzemski flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
bot 8Mauricio Dubón flies out to second baseman Xavier Edwards.
top 8Otto Lopez grounds out, third baseman Austin Riley to first baseman Matt Olson.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 1-2 · Javier Sanoja 1-3 · Xavier Edwards 1-4
Atlanta Braves
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Harris II 2-4 · Mauricio Dubón 2-4, 1 RBI · Drake Baldwin 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.