Statball

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San Diego Padres
8
100% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
3
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 13 H, 0 EBraves · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Matt Olson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ozzie Albies called out on strikes.
bot 9Drake Baldwin walks.
bot 9Jim Jarvis singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
bot 9Brewer Hicklen strikes out swinging.
top 9Luis Campusano strikes out swinging.
top 9Jackson Merrill lines into an unassisted double play, shortstop Jim Jarvis. Ty France out at 2nd.
top 9Ty France doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 2-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jackson Merrill 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Atlanta Braves
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jim Jarvis 2-3, 2 RBI · Michael Harris II 1-4 · Matt Olson 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.