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San Diego Padres
2
0% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
3
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891121
Padres · 7 H, 1 EBraves · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jake Cronenworth grounds into a force out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to shortstop Jim Jarvis. Luis Rengifo out at 2nd.
top 9Xander Bogaerts lines out to center fielder Michael Harris II.
top 9Luis Rengifo singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Eli White.
top 9Ty France strikes out swinging.
bot 8Drake Baldwin called out on strikes.
top 8Manny Machado flies out to center fielder Michael Harris II.
top 8Jackson Merrill pops out to shortstop Jim Jarvis.
top 8Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, third baseman Austin Riley to first baseman Matt Olson.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ty France 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Rengifo 2-2
Atlanta Braves
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ozzie Albies 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Harris II 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joey Bart 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.