Statball

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New York Mets
7
100% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
6
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 11 H, 1 EBraves · 13 H, 0 E
0%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Mauricio Dubón grounds into a force out, shortstop Ronny Mauricio to second baseman Brett Baty. Jorge Mateo out at 2nd.
bot 10Jorge Mateo walks. Michael Harris II to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd.
bot 10Luke Weaver intentionally walks Matt Olson.
bot 10Ozzie Albies strikes out swinging.
bot 10Michael Harris II doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. José Azócar scores.76
bot 10Jim Jarvis grounds out, pitcher Luke Weaver to first baseman Jared Young.
top 10Brett Baty strikes out swinging.
top 10Luis Torrens doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Jorge Mateo. Bo Bichette scores. Jared Young scores.75

Context the model prices

New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Juan Soto 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-5
Atlanta Braves
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Olson 2-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Harris II 3-6, 2 RBI · Drake Baldwin 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.