Statball

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New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
14
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912141224
Mets · 10 H, 1 EBraves · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9A.J. Ewing grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.
top 9Mark Vientos singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II.
top 9Jared Young pops out to second baseman Ozzie Albies.
top 9Ronny Mauricio strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Joey Bart grounds into a force out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to second baseman Brett Baty. Mike Yastrzemski out at 2nd.
bot 8Mike Yastrzemski singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 8Michael Harris II homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.314
bot 8Austin Riley homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Mauricio Dubón scores. Ozzie Albies scores.313

Context the model prices

New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Mark Vientos 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyrone Taylor 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Francisco Lindor 2-4
Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Harris II 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Mike Yastrzemski 2-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Mauricio Dubón 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.