Statball

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New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
5
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 10 H, 0 EBraves · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Francisco Lindor grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.
top 9Bo Bichette singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Luis Torrens scores. Juan Soto to 3rd.35
top 9Juan Soto singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Luis Torrens to 3rd.
top 9Tyrone Taylor strikes out swinging.
top 9Luis Torrens singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski.
top 9Brett Baty pops out to shortstop Jorge Mateo.
bot 8Dominic Smith flies out to center fielder Tyrone Taylor.
bot 8Michael Harris II singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-4, 1 RBI · Francisco Alvarez 2-4
Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Olson 2-3, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Harris II 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ozzie Albies 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.