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Pittsburgh Pirates
3
0% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
6
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 4 H, 0 EBraves · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ryan O'Hearn grounds into a double play, second baseman Ozzie Albies to shortstop Mauricio Dubón to first baseman Matt Olson. Marcell Ozuna out at 2nd. Ryan O'Hearn out at 1st.
top 9Oneil Cruz strikes out swinging.
top 9Marcell Ozuna singles on a line drive to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.
top 9Bryan Reynolds walks.
bot 8Matt Olson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Michael Harris II strikes out swinging. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd. Michael Harris II to 1st. Wild pitch by pitcher Brandan Bidois.
bot 8Ronald Acuña Jr. walks.
bot 8Sandy León grounds out softly to pitcher Brandan Bidois.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Marcell Ozuna 2-4, 1 RBI · Jared Triolo 1-3 · Nick Gonzales 1-4, 1 RBI
Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Mauricio Dubón 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Harris II 2-5 · Matt Olson 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.