Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
3
0% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
6
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 8 H, 1 EBraves · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Horwitz pops out to third baseman Austin Riley in foul territory.
top 9Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to left fielder Eli White.
top 9Tyler Callihan flies out to left fielder Eli White.
bot 8Austin Wynns grounds into a force out, shortstop Jared Triolo to second baseman Nick Gonzales. Eli White out at 2nd.
bot 8Eli White grounds into a force out, shortstop Jared Triolo to second baseman Nick Gonzales. Dominic Smith out at 2nd. Eli White to 1st.
bot 8Austin Riley flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 8Dominic Smith walks.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Gonzales 2-4, 1 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 1-5 · Bryan Reynolds 1-4
Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Smith 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Mauricio Dubón 2-4 · Ronald Acuña Jr. 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.