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Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
3
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 5 H, 1 EBraves · 3 H, 1 E
100%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Endy Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jared Triolo pops out to second baseman Ozzie Albies.
top 9Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.
top 9Tyler Callihan strikes out swinging.
top 9Brandon Lowe doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr.
bot 8Dominic Smith flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 8Ozzie Albies grounds out, shortstop Jared Triolo to first baseman Davis Wendzel.
bot 8Matt Olson pops out to third baseman Tyler Callihan.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Horwitz 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Lowe 1-1 · Endy Rodríguez 1-2
Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Harris II 1-1, 3 RBI · Ozzie Albies 1-4 · Sandy León 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.