Statball

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Boston Red Sox
3
100% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
2
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891211
Sox · 7 H, 1 EBraves · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ha-Seong Kim grounds out, pitcher Aroldis Chapman to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 9Michael Harris II walks. Jorge Mateo to 3rd. Mauricio Dubón to 2nd.
bot 9Mauricio Dubón walks.
bot 9Austin Riley reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Andruw Monasterio.
bot 9Matt Olson lines out to shortstop Andruw Monasterio.
bot 9Ozzie Albies pops out to first baseman Willson Contreras in foul territory.
top 9Andruw Monasterio flies out to right fielder José Azócar.
top 9Marcelo Mayer strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 2-4 · Mickey Gasper 1-4
Atlanta Braves
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Drake Baldwin 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Azócar 2-3 · Michael Harris II 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.