Statball

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Detroit Tigers
5
100% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
2
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 12 H, 0 EBraves · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dominic Smith flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
bot 9Mike Yastrzemski singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
bot 9Michael Harris II flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
top 9Dillon Dingler doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Matt Vierling scores. Hao-Yu Lee out at home on the throw, left fielder Mike Yastrzemski to shortstop Mauricio Dubón to catcher Drake Baldwin.52
top 9Hao-Yu Lee walks.
top 9Matt Vierling singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Wenceel Pérez scores. Matt Vierling to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Mike Yastrzemski.42
top 9Wenceel Pérez walks.
top 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Gleyber Torres 3-4, 1 RBI · Matt Vierling 3-5, 2 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 2-5
Atlanta Braves
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Ozzie Albies 2-4 · Mauricio Dubón 1-3, 1 RBI · Drake Baldwin 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.