Statball

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Miami Marlins
3
0% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
6
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 8 H, 0 EBraves · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Otto Lopez strikes out swinging.
top 9Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II.
top 9Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.
top 9Agustín Ramírez called out on strikes.
bot 8Michael Harris II strikes out swinging.
bot 8Mauricio Dubón lines out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 8Dominic Smith flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 8Graham Pauley grounds into a double play, second baseman Ozzie Albies to shortstop Mauricio Dubón to first baseman Matt Olson. Heriberto Hernández out at 2nd. Graham Pauley out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Liam Hicks 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Connor Norby 2-4 · Otto Lopez 2-4
Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Riley 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Matt Olson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ozzie Albies 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.